Traders › Intentional-Cane-Flow
Intentional-Cane-Flow: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x04fb…5968 · Tailwhale rank #146 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
47/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.1 pts
Win rate
58% of positions
Markets traded
307 in 180 days
PnL: $78,240 this month · ROI on closed positions 13.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
46.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 9/100 | 3.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.1 pts on 288 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 43/100 | 8.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+8.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 307 | 8.3 | 307 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 288 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 58% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $59,527 |
| sports | $58,554 |
| politics | $13,021 |
| finance | −$7,372 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Bought DNK | Counter-Strike: Lavked vs DNK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group C | 25¢ | $218 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought DNK | Counter-Strike: Lavked vs DNK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 Group C | 27¢ | $314 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought GenOne | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage | 49¢ | $715 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought GenOne | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage | 38¢ | $392 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought | Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Tulpar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D AND Dota 2: PARIVISION vs DO KONCA (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 54¢ | $109 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Rottweilas Latam | Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner | 35¢ | $2,401 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought MOUZ | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 51¢ | $1,102 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 10¢ | $393 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 38¢ | $606 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought The Last Resort | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage | 31¢ | $338 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought The Last Resort | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage | 56¢ | $669 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 43¢ | $324 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 44¢ | $216 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 36¢ | $430 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 36¢ | $430 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.