Smart money on the biggest prediction markets

Where top-skill wallets are positioned on the 100 highest-volume open Polymarket markets.

MarketVolumeSkilled walletsConsensus
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$80,183,88914No 100%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$69,278,1114No 100%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55,187,5290–
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54,667,9720–
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$52,983,7650–
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51,134,9930–
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49,284,1550–
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46,414,5362No 100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$46,295,9945No 100%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$44,989,6420–
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44,960,8090–
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$44,946,9160–
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$44,487,0621Yes 100%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44,444,1230–
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44,403,3650–
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$44,358,0640–
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43,930,9200–
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$43,864,3210–
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43,073,2480–
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43,068,7020–
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$43,010,7200–
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$41,386,6540–
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$40,441,8490–
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$39,106,7870–
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$39,000,0350–
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$38,803,4950–
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38,168,4590–
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$37,964,9540–
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$36,848,5860–
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$36,542,6290–
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$36,209,8730–
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$36,077,3585No 100%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$35,753,7220–
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$35,474,6240–
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$35,068,48612No 100%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$34,690,6394Yes 93%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$34,515,2080–
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$34,138,9950–
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$33,352,9910–
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$32,812,9150–
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$32,584,8951Yes 100%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$32,390,3850–
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$32,063,2660–
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$29,880,1504No 100%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$29,146,5831Yes 100%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$28,967,6760–
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$28,765,2550–
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$28,729,3488No 71%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$28,458,4460–
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$28,454,8990–
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$28,272,9524No 99%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$27,637,3540–
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$26,923,8881Yes 100%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$26,857,2331Yes 100%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$26,137,8010–
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$26,007,2630–
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$25,194,4597No 95%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$24,972,5370–
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$23,932,8880–
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$23,602,5651Yes 100%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$23,310,6430–
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$23,236,5140–
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21,859,2690–
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$21,065,1090–
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20,715,5272Yes 100%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20,065,3044Yes 100%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$20,025,7881Yes 100%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19,728,7911Yes 100%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19,551,3190–
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19,343,52612No 85%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19,292,0405No 94%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19,247,4800–
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19,073,2926No 100%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19,038,0770–
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18,774,8083Yes 100%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$18,664,8732Yes 100%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$18,292,6344Yes 100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$17,912,8897No 95%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$17,801,8972Yes 100%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$17,366,29814No 66%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?$17,288,5331No 100%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$17,163,3010–
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16,859,3069No 56%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$16,327,3261Yes 100%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16,014,2966No 77%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16,010,4551Yes 100%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$15,887,4860–
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15,327,9520–
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15,060,3741Yes 100%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15,014,75212No 56%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14,830,9304No 99%
Trump out as President before 2027?$14,807,4006No 100%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14,613,2281Yes 100%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14,478,6725No 91%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14,250,3132Yes 100%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14,044,2224Yes 100%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13,730,8603Yes 100%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13,644,3077Yes 70%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13,393,1170–
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$13,061,1023No 98%

Snapshot 2026-11-14.