Traders › Luxurious-Celeriac-Motorcycle
Luxurious-Celeriac-Motorcycle: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x1b20…3ab0 · Tailwhale rank #119 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
51/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+5.2 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
69 in 180 days
PnL: – · $859,778 all time · ROI on closed positions 34.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
50.7 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 22/100 | 8.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.2 pts on 69 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 29/100 | 5.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 69 | 6.1 | 69 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 69 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $859,782 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Bought Under | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | 55¢ | $11,643 |
| 2026-08-04 | Bought Under | Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 | 54¢ | $3,134 |
| 2026-08-03 | Bought Under | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 | 59¢ | $1,391 |
| 2026-08-02 | Bought Over | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 | 32¢ | $377 |
| 2026-08-02 | Bought Over | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 | 40¢ | $8,592 |
| 2026-08-02 | Bought Over | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | 49¢ | $49,000 |
| 2026-08-02 | Bought Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 38¢ | $10,307 |
| 2026-08-02 | Bought San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | 41¢ | $12,043 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 39¢ | $26,666 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 39¢ | $42,267 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought Robert Valentin | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | 59¢ | $2,922 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought Robert Valentin | UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) | 58¢ | $15,735 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought Vlasto Cepo | UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims) | 73¢ | $194,452 |
| 2026-08-01 | Bought Alexander Poppeck | UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims) | 28¢ | $11,811 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bought Under | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 | 48¢ | $2,026 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.