Traders › Shrill-Aunt
Shrill-Aunt: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x20d6…3856 · Tailwhale rank #166 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.7 pts
Win rate
53% of positions
Markets traded
581 in 180 days
PnL: $126,783 this month · ROI on closed positions 0.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
43.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 21/100 | 8.5 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.7 pts on 665 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-3.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 581 | 9.2 | 581 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 665 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 53% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $571,974 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Bought Hawks | Heat vs. Hawks | 57¢ | $1,481 |
| 2026-10-28 | Bought Yes | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 2¢ | $17 |
| 2026-10-28 | Bought Ducks | Canucks vs. Ducks | 99¢ | $52 |
| 2026-10-28 | Bought Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers vs. Lakers | 48¢ | $118 |
| 2026-10-28 | Bought Yes | Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 2¢ | $35 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Yes | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0¢ | $44 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Yes | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0¢ | $260 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $13 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $23 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $33 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $33 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $32 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $10 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $32 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought No | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | 3¢ | $32 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $195 | 0¢ |
Get alerts when Shrill-Aunt trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.