Traders › Grand-Access
Grand-Access: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x4468…b165 · Tailwhale rank #150 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
46/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+6.1 pts
Win rate
50% of positions
Markets traded
227 in 180 days
PnL: $76,570 this month · ROI on closed positions 9.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
46.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 43/100 | 17.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.1 pts on 227 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 32/100 | 6.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 227 | 7.9 | 227 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 227 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.0 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 50% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $222,625 |
| sports | −$22,408 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | 56¢ | $647 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold No | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | 17¢ | $2,514 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold Yes | Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? | 12¢ | $1,723 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold No | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | 18¢ | $2,747 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold Karmine Corp | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | 81¢ | $5,869 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold Hanwha Life Esports | Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) | 52¢ | $7,821 |
| 2026-10-29 | Sold Hanwha Life Esports | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | 78¢ | $15,600 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 4¢ | $26 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 2¢ | $25 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 2¢ | $15 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 7¢ | $79 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 6¢ | $77 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 18¢ | $101 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought Inner Circle Esports | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | 38¢ | $1,519 |
| 2026-10-29 | Bought GamerLegion | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs | 37¢ | $23 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.