Traders › 0x4488…e319
0x4488…e319: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x4488…e319 · Tailwhale rank #174 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
42/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.1 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
1,931 in 180 days
PnL: $898,817 this month · $1,365,642 all time · ROI on closed positions 11.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
42.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.1 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.1 pts on 1955 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 33/100 | 6.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1931 | 10.0 | 1931 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1955 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $1,432,345 |
| finance | $122,111 |
| culture | $30,526 |
| crypto | $13,120 |
| tech | $4,065 |
| esports | −$11,971 |
| sports | −$276,803 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought | UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) | 51¢ | $2,440 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Washington State | Spread: Washington State (-8.5) | 51¢ | $2,096 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Utah State | Spread: Utah State (-1.5) | 55¢ | $3,178 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Washington | Spread: Washington (-1.5) | 53¢ | $753 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Washington | Washington vs. Michigan State | 56¢ | $2,953 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought SMU | Wake Forest vs. SMU | 53¢ | $3,534 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Duke | Spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5) | 54¢ | $1,121 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Duke | Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) | 47¢ | $304 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Indiana | Spread: Indiana (-8.5) | 52¢ | $1,145 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Arkansas | Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) | 49¢ | $302 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Kansas | Kansas vs. West Virginia | 44¢ | $4,400 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Indiana | Spread: Indiana (-8.5) | 52¢ | $1,966 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 100¢ | $389 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET? | 100¢ | $18 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET? | 100¢ | $4,260 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.