Traders › Unacceptable-Crop-Spotlight
Unacceptable-Crop-Spotlight: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x5966…f804 · Tailwhale rank #53 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
67/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+8.5 pts
Win rate
56% of positions
Markets traded
105 in 180 days
PnL: – · $3,498,742 all time · ROI on closed positions 27.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
67.1 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 32/100 | 12.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +8.5 pts on 105 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 88/100 | 17.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+17.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 105 | 6.7 | 105 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +8.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 105 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +8.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 56% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $2,560,167 |
| esports | $898,063 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 87¢ | $1,849 |
| 2026-09-16 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | 86¢ | $33,205 |
| 2026-07-09 | Bought Athletics | Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers | 35¢ | $11,700 |
| 2026-07-09 | Bought Athletics | Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers | 34¢ | $14,892 |
| 2026-07-09 | Bought Yes | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | 62¢ | $92,625 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Switzerland | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | 41¢ | $62 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Switzerland | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | 41¢ | $17,508 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Switzerland | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | 41¢ | $3,987 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Switzerland | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | 41¢ | $22,951 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Switzerland | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | 40¢ | $7,831 |
| 2026-07-07 | Sold Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 100¢ | $77,149 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 46¢ | $53 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 46¢ | $23,000 |
| 2026-07-07 | Bought Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 45¢ | $977 |
| 2026-07-05 | Bought Over | Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5 | 67¢ | $2,702 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.