Traders › Innocent-Congressman-Grandmother

Innocent-Congressman-Grandmother: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x62d5…3d4f · Tailwhale rank #72 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

60/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

−0.1 pts

Win rate

63% of positions

Markets traded

240 in 180 days

PnL: $1,215,066 this month · ROI on closed positions 1042.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

59.9 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star). Capped below 4★ (see below).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%50/10020.0Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: -0.1 pts on 224 resolved positions.
Robustness20%100/10020.0Return with the three best positions removed (+1004.2%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%100/10015.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%2407.9240 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–-0.1 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 224 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+1.8 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–63%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Capped at 59.9: on 224 resolved positions this wallet did worse than the market's own odds (-0.1 pts), so it can't show 4–5 stars.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
sports$19,820
politics$13,137

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-08Sold NoWill Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?3¢$13
2026-11-08Sold YesWill Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-11-08?3¢$18
2026-11-07Sold NoWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?13¢$57
2026-11-04Sold NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?95¢$338
2026-11-03Sold YesWill Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?94¢$17
2026-10-30Sold NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$479
2026-10-30Bought NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$480
2026-10-30Sold NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$479
2026-10-30Bought NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$480
2026-10-30Sold NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$479
2026-10-30Bought NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$480
2026-10-30Sold NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$479
2026-10-30Bought NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$480
2026-10-30Sold NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$479
2026-10-30Bought NoWill Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?100¢$480

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.