Traders › Sticky-Closing
Sticky-Closing: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x6bab…0fe5 · Tailwhale rank #24 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
80/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+4.9 pts
Win rate
68% of positions
Markets traded
233 in 180 days
PnL: $196,868 this month · ROI on closed positions 19.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
80.1 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 89/100 | 35.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +4.9 pts on 218 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 51/100 | 10.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 233 | 7.9 | 233 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +4.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 218 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.8 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 68% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $209,834 |
| finance | $24,354 |
| tech | $11,419 |
| sports | −$5,452 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | 93¢ | $1,557 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | 94¢ | $3,532 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | 88¢ | $2,069 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | 52¢ | $2,150 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30? | 61¢ | $44 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30? | 60¢ | $439 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? | 76¢ | $2,925 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | 83¢ | $1,138 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by November 30? | 63¢ | $57 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | 93¢ | $6,444 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | 93¢ | $72 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? | 99¢ | $5,543 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? | 100¢ | $4,570 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? | 75¢ | $1,074 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? | 76¢ | $127 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.