Traders › Specific-Pear-Whirlwind
Specific-Pear-Whirlwind: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x7091…96f8 · Tailwhale rank #11 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
92/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+14.6 pts
Win rate
66% of positions
Markets traded
2,972 in 180 days
PnL: $112,346 this month · ROI on closed positions 26.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
91.8 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +14.6 pts on 2951 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 97/100 | 19.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+19.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2972 | 10.0 | 2972 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +14.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2951 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +14.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 66% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $95,136 |
| finance | $5,707 |
| crypto | −$2,258 |
| sports | −$39,619 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? | 10¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? | 10¢ | $207 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | 64¢ | $983 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 45¢ | $223 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 43¢ | $1,454 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 90¢ | $1,197 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | 72¢ | $557 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 40¢ | $1,441 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 50¢ | $3,718 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 24¢ | $889 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 50¢ | $275 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | 90¢ | $4,745 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 12¢ | $290 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 12¢ | $871 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | 59¢ | $277 |
Get alerts when Specific-Pear-Whirlwind trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.