Traders › 0x8dxd
0x8dxd: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x63ce…ba9a · Tailwhale rank #58 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
65/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+0.2 pts
Win rate
99% of positions
Markets traded
848 in 180 days
PnL: – · $2,050,433 all time · ROI on closed positions -0.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
64.8 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.2 pts on 851 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-0.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 848 | 9.8 | 848 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 851 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 99% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| crypto | $2,050,245 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | 99¢ | $44 |
| 2026-08-24 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2026-08-24 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | 99¢ | $511 |
| 2026-08-24 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | 96¢ | $906 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | 93¢ | $933 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | 100¢ | $55 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | 99¢ | $488 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | 100¢ | $630 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | 99¢ | $597 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | 100¢ | $165 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | 99¢ | $488 |
| 2026-08-21 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | 97¢ | $974 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.