Traders › Hasty-Worker
Hasty-Worker: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9b12…c2d5 · Tailwhale rank #193 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
40/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
−4.5 pts
Win rate
7% of positions
Markets traded
1,064 in 180 days
PnL: $735,396 this month · ROI on closed positions 45.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
40 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: -4.5 pts on 920 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-22.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1064 | 10.0 | 1064 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | -4.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 920 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | -3.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 7% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Calibration counted as zero because beat-the-odds is negative.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $70,390 |
| finance | $6,399 |
| weather | $6,010 |
| culture | $4,151 |
| crypto | $3,461 |
| sports | $2,477 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vietnam win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $50 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 72¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Nepal win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $44 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vietnam win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026? | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 14? | 100¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $38 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | 100¢ | $22 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 14? | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 14? | 100¢ | $77 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 14? | 100¢ | $54 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 14? | 100¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 14? | 83¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C or higher on November 14? | 100¢ | $10 |
Get alerts when Hasty-Worker trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.