Traders › 0x9f15…bdb3
0x9f15…bdb3: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9f15…bdb3 · Tailwhale rank #10 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
92/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+7.3 pts
Win rate
57% of positions
Markets traded
2,709 in 180 days
PnL: $433,776 this month · ROI on closed positions 14.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
91.9 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +7.3 pts on 2748 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 59/100 | 11.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+11.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2709 | 10.0 | 2709 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +7.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2748 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +7.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 57% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $465,508 |
| esports | $197,592 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Under | Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City WFC: Manchester City WFC O/U 1.5 | 57¢ | $36 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Score | 59¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Exact Score: Guatemala 1 - 4 Canada? | 95¢ | $25 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Warriors | 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | 53¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Exact Score: Guatemala 1 - 1 Canada? | 90¢ | $55 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Under | Peru vs. Bolivia: Peru O/U 1.5 | 49¢ | $36 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Argentina vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | 52¢ | $43 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Elina Svitolina | Set 1 Winner: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina | 34¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold RC Celta de Vigo | Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5) | 51¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Under | Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | 47¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Under | Slovenia vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | 55¢ | $379 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Will Niger win on 2026-11-13? | 98¢ | $120 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Over | Moldova vs. Kazakhstan: Kazakhstan O/U 0.5 | 65¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Exact Score: Nigeria 3 - 1 Tanzania? | 91¢ | $363 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Under | Singapore vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 51¢ | $26 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.