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Remote-Testing: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa3a4…5106 · Tailwhale rank #15 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
87/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+2.1 pts
Win rate
41% of positions
Markets traded
235 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,244,759 all time · ROI on closed positions 198.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
86.6 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 72/100 | 28.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.1 pts on 125 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 100/100 | 20.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+67.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 235 | 7.9 | 235 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 125 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 41% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $1,224,433 |
| culture | $17,062 |
| sports | $2,437 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $47 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $34 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | 7¢ | $146 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | 13¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $47 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | 0¢ | $10 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | 13¢ | $338 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | 13¢ | $260 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $47 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 2¢ | $48 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | 13¢ | $260 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 3¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 3¢ | $20 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.