Traders › 0xc8b9…b836
0xc8b9…b836: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc8b9…b836 · Tailwhale rank #13 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
88/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+12.0 pts
Win rate
71% of positions
Markets traded
368 in 180 days
PnL: $296,857 this month · ROI on closed positions 29.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
87.7 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 91/100 | 36.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +12.0 pts on 378 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 100/100 | 20.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+22.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 368 | 8.6 | 368 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +12.0 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 378 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +11.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 71% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $606,737 |
| sports | $12,300 |
| culture | −$3,113 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | 96¢ | $469 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | 95¢ | $614 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff? | 92¢ | $299 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Yes | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | 92¢ | $320 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Will Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree? | 89¢ | $323 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold Yes | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | 75¢ | $10,413 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold Yes | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | 37¢ | $448 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold Yes | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 96¢ | $5,246 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | 64¢ | $1,690 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | 63¢ | $292 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | 67¢ | $312 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | 55¢ | $372 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold No | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | 72¢ | $2,158 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold No | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | 72¢ | $1,295 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold Yes | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | 80¢ | $5,687 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.