Traders › Crisp-Sleet-Pinafore
Crisp-Sleet-Pinafore: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc9a2…77d3 · Tailwhale rank #42 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
73/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+15.2 pts
Win rate
72% of positions
Markets traded
34 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,066,896 all time · ROI on closed positions 46.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
73.2 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +15.2 pts on 39 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 91/100 | 18.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+18.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 34 | 5.1 | 34 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +15.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 39 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +15.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 72% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $1,066,896 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Natus Vincere | LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | 47¢ | $6,110 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | 63¢ | $51,660 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | 64¢ | $76,800 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Top Esports | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | 62¢ | $778 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Top Esports | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | 62¢ | $465 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought Top Esports | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | 62¢ | $4,875 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 50¢ | $4,988 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 47¢ | $1,180 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 50¢ | $1,119 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 51¢ | $7,053 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 45¢ | $2,875 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 48¢ | $223 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 48¢ | $351 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 48¢ | $15 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bought LGD Gaming | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 47¢ | $7,050 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.