Traders › Stiff-Desktop
Stiff-Desktop: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc9bf…81c0 · Tailwhale rank #123 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
50/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+1.8 pts
Win rate
56% of positions
Markets traded
748 in 180 days
PnL: $534,034 this month · ROI on closed positions 16.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
50.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 14/100 | 5.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +1.8 pts on 745 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 51/100 | 10.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 748 | 9.6 | 748 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +1.8 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 745 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 56% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $553,829 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $1,397 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $783 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $4,353 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $1,388 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $5,180 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $3,374 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $2,417 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $3,650 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $486 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $5,404 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 67¢ | $6,970 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $2,790 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-RUSTEC | Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Honvéd - Map 1 Winner | 61¢ | $196 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought BARCA | Counter-Strike: tao toma vs BARCA (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 65¢ | $41 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought ex-Yawara | Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ex-Yawara (BO3) - CCT South America Playoffs | 66¢ | $38 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.