Traders › 0xd32c…a4c2
0xd32c…a4c2: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xd32c…a4c2 · Tailwhale rank #154 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
45/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
−0.9 pts
Win rate
21% of positions
Markets traded
1,581 in 180 days
PnL: $73,446 this month · ROI on closed positions 10.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
45.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: -0.9 pts on 1724 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 26/100 | 5.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1581 | 10.0 | 1581 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | -0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1724 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | -0.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 21% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Calibration counted as zero because beat-the-odds is negative.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $18,908 |
| finance | $12,327 |
| tech | $4,420 |
| culture | $1,974 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | 100¢ | $75 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | 99¢ | $372 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | 100¢ | $374 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | 100¢ | $374 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | 59¢ | $221 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $73 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $73 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | 98¢ | $72 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $211 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 13¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $211 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | 98¢ | $207 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $154 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $154 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.