Traders › Scaly-Insurrection
Scaly-Insurrection: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xd570…e4f8 · Tailwhale rank #28 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
80/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+18.1 pts
Win rate
67% of positions
Markets traded
47 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,237,466 all time · ROI on closed positions 33.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
79.6 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 67/100 | 26.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +18.1 pts on 47 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 86/100 | 17.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+17.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 47 | 5.6 | 47 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +18.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 47 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +17.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 67% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $1,237,469 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 39¢ | $1,693 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 39¢ | $1,567 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 40¢ | $5,182 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 38¢ | $1,137 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nuclear TigeRES | Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 43¢ | $17,200 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 37¢ | $668 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 47¢ | $1,121 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 48¢ | $1,446 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 48¢ | $876 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 48¢ | $7,320 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 50¢ | $9,901 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought T1 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | 50¢ | $1,501 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 36¢ | $1,800 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 36¢ | $1,800 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Nemiga | Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | 36¢ | $5,400 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.