Traders › Vigilant-Environment
Vigilant-Environment: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xdbdd…a5de · Tailwhale rank #2 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
98/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+10.3 pts
Win rate
64% of positions
Markets traded
1,922 in 180 days
PnL: $126,277 this month · $1,067,522 all time · ROI on closed positions 22.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
97.8 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +10.3 pts on 2089 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 89/100 | 17.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+17.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1922 | 10.0 | 1922 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +10.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2089 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +10.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 64% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $944,278 |
| esports | $123,244 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Manuel Mazza | M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: Manuel Mazza vs Ignacio Parisca | 42¢ | $74 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Admiral Vladivostok | KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Admiral Vladivostok | 25¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas | Hersonissos 3 (Doubles): Ganchev/Maes vs Tsitsipas/Tsitsipas | 80¢ | $108 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Marcel Zielinski | M15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria: Marcel Zielinski vs Carles Cordoba | 58¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | US Tourcoing FC vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | $327 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Juan Estevez | M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien | 61¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Barbara Gatica | W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica | 89¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Thiago Agustin Tirante | Game Spread: Taylor Fritz (-3.5) vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (+3.5) | 86¢ | $430 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Barbara Gatica | W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica | 85¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Barbara Gatica | W15 São Carlos: Marjorie Souza vs Barbara Gatica | 79¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Uganda Women | Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women | 45¢ | $43 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Axorfy Gaming | Counter-Strike: Axorfy Gaming vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner | 39¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought India Under-19s | ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Pakistan Under-19s vs India Under-19s | 45¢ | $24 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought India Under-19s | ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Pakistan Under-19s vs India Under-19s | 40¢ | $21 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Uganda Women | Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Rwanda Women | 49¢ | $245 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.