Traders › Unkempt-Penicillin
Unkempt-Penicillin: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe5e1…badc · Tailwhale rank #101 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
54/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+11.3 pts
Win rate
81% of positions
Markets traded
26 in 180 days
PnL: $228,278 this month · ROI on closed positions 44.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
54.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 36/100 | 14.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +11.3 pts on 26 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 27/100 | 5.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 26 | 4.7 | 26 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +11.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 26 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +11.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 81% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| crypto | $220,830 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | 94¢ | $2,964 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 99¢ | $1,194 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 82¢ | $870 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 60¢ | $442 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sold Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 72¢ | $1,226 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sold Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 83¢ | $827 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sold Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 84¢ | $1,643 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 69¢ | $1,533 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 71¢ | $2,028 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 73¢ | $375 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 66¢ | $1,915 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | 63¢ | $2,093 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | 47¢ | $691 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | 90¢ | $295 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | 89¢ | $2,566 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.