Traders › 0xf705…3ca7
0xf705…3ca7: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf705…3ca7 · Tailwhale rank #168 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
43/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.1 pts
Win rate
43% of positions
Markets traded
1,232 in 180 days
PnL: $248,953 this month · $2,602,910 all time · ROI on closed positions 7.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
43.2 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.1 pts on 1528 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 27/100 | 5.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1232 | 10.0 | 1232 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1528 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 43% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| crypto | $2,602,910 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 90¢ | $2,149 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in November? | 8¢ | $106 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 89¢ | $240 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 November 9-15? | 5¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 86¢ | $219 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 86¢ | $5,066 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 84¢ | $863 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 82¢ | $1,013 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in November? | 92¢ | $7,352 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 83¢ | $2,377 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 84¢ | $2,536 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15? | 40¢ | $207 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 83¢ | $1,688 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 November 9-15? | 3¢ | $74 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? | 85¢ | $5,736 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.