Traders › 222000YE
222000YE: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x7cd5…2b75 · Tailwhale rank #187 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
41/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
−0.6 pts
Win rate
46% of positions
Markets traded
867 in 180 days
PnL: $67,749 this month · ROI on closed positions 22.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
41.1 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: -0.6 pts on 992 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 32/100 | 6.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 867 | 9.8 | 867 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | -0.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 992 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | -0.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 46% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Calibration counted as zero because beat-the-odds is negative.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $26,465 |
| esports | $23,047 |
| sports | $11,692 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $40 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $40 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $354 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Up | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 24? | 5¢ | $12 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $143 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $37 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $37 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $27 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $50 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 13¢ | $14 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought No | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 72¢ | $133 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 73¢ | $130 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Yes | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | 73¢ | $171 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought TheMongolz | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | 24¢ | $11 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bought Up | Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? | 8¢ | $22 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.