Traders › 328.400.fund
328.400.fund: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xefb7…0870 · Tailwhale rank #64 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
63/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+5.3 pts
Win rate
59% of positions
Markets traded
119 in 180 days
PnL: $300,741 this month · ROI on closed positions 7.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
62.5 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 55/100 | 22.1 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.3 pts on 106 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 17/100 | 3.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 119 | 6.9 | 119 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 106 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 59% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $36,379 |
| culture | $2,513 |
| weather | $1,118 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026? | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026? | 95¢ | $3,496 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 100¢ | $5,043 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 1¢ | $99 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? | 34¢ | $742 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? | 82¢ | $4,254 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 99¢ | $9,860 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? | 42¢ | $1,359 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $34,527 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $4,242 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $14,881 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $17,603 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $9,980 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $11,100 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? | 79¢ | $4,098 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | $31,829 | 97¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.