Traders › afghj2421
afghj2421: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xb91a…3987 · Tailwhale rank #34 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
77/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+10.9 pts
Win rate
62% of positions
Markets traded
122 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,574,868 all time · ROI on closed positions 21.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
77.4 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 62/100 | 24.9 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +10.9 pts on 122 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 78/100 | 15.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+15.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 122 | 6.9 | 122 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +10.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 122 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +10.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 62% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $1,574,868 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Bought Kansas City Royals | Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | 52¢ | $108,330 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bought Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | 50¢ | $3,099 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bought Over | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | 49¢ | $6,900 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bought Over | Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | 50¢ | $98,039 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | 51¢ | $2,380 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | 51¢ | $85,016 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Under | Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 | 50¢ | $49,951 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 50¢ | $75,878 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Over | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | 53¢ | $8,501 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | 44¢ | $18,571 |
| 2026-06-09 | Bought Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | 44¢ | $5,194 |
| 2026-06-08 | Bought San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | 58¢ | $14,983 |
| 2026-06-08 | Bought San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants | 58¢ | $14,270 |
| 2026-06-08 | Bought Over | New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | 45¢ | $143 |
| 2026-06-08 | Bought Over | New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | 45¢ | $2,853 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.