Traders › Allezpapa
Allezpapa: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe549…2d54 · Tailwhale rank #102 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
54/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+6.6 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
156 in 180 days
PnL: – · $4,149,050 all time · ROI on closed positions 22.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
54.1 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 32/100 | 12.9 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.6 pts on 157 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 19/100 | 3.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 156 | 7.3 | 156 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 157 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $4,149,050 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Bought Yes | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | 32¢ | $201,439 |
| 2026-07-18 | Bought Yes | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | 52¢ | $260,000 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 64¢ | $128,000 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought Yes | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | 34¢ | $49,092 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought Yes | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | 34¢ | $29,371 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought Yes | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | 34¢ | $25,705 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 65¢ | $33,039 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 65¢ | $53,861 |
| 2026-07-15 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 65¢ | $43,430 |
| 2026-07-14 | Bought France | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | 56¢ | $168,750 |
| 2026-07-14 | Bought Yes | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 23¢ | $44,294 |
| 2026-07-13 | Bought Yes | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | 30¢ | $75,000 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 63¢ | $4,017 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought No | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | 63¢ | $19,144 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Yes | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | 32¢ | $8,223 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.