Traders › AnibalAugustoSardinha
AnibalAugustoSardinha: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9609…a48d · Tailwhale rank #94 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
56/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+7.6 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
214 in 180 days
PnL: $81,257 this month · ROI on closed positions 10.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
55.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 46/100 | 18.3 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +7.6 pts on 231 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 23/100 | 4.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+4.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 214 | 7.8 | 214 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +7.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 231 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +7.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $90,852 |
| sports | $4,629 |
| politics | −$4,669 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 51¢ | $129 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? | 50¢ | $6,416 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? | 46¢ | $18 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought G2 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 25¢ | $173 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought G2 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 34¢ | $1,045 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought G2 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | 18¢ | $128 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought G2 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | 25¢ | $743 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought G2 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | 35¢ | $286 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Legacy | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | 17¢ | $138 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought MOUZ | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 59¢ | $10,744 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought FUT Esports | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 1¢ | $89 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought FUT Esports | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 5¢ | $234 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought FUT Esports | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | 4¢ | $283 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought FUT Esports | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | 14¢ | $179 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Bilibili Gaming | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | 37¢ | $1,233 |
Get alerts when AnibalAugustoSardinha trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.