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anothercoin: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0xc22b…deab · Tailwhale rank #25 by skill · ★★★★☆

Skill Score

80/100 · 4★

Beat the odds

+3.6 pts

Win rate

52% of positions

Markets traded

835 in 180 days

PnL: $316,543 this month · ROI on closed positions 44.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 4 stars: the score breakdown

79.7 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%50/10020.0Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.6 pts on 375 resolved positions.
Robustness20%100/10020.0Return with the three best positions removed (+28.6%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%100/10015.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%8359.7835 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+3.6 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 375 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+6.0 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–52%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
politics$22,428
culture$4,852
finance$4,387
tech$3,250

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-14Bought NoWill OpenAI have the best AI model on December 15, 2026?99¢$20
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the Republicans win the Mississippi governor race in 2027?32¢$110
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027?26¢$88
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 12 or more Taiwanese head of local government races?90¢$18
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 11 Taiwanese head of local government races?96¢$20
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 7 Taiwanese head of local government races?80¢$16
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 6 Taiwanese head of local government races?86¢$18
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 10 Taiwanese head of local government races?87¢$18
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the DPP win 9 Taiwanese head of local government races?86¢$18
2026-11-14Bought NoNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?72¢$96
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?92¢$198
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?12¢$26
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 14?92¢$12
2026-11-14Bought NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 16?97¢$12
2026-11-14Bought NoWill Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?87¢$18

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.