Traders › Bigggggggg
Bigggggggg: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x511f…cbe1 · Tailwhale rank #12 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
91/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+3.1 pts
Win rate
41% of positions
Markets traded
1,686 in 180 days
PnL: $1,815,685 this month · ROI on closed positions 18.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
91.4 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.1 pts on 1464 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 69/100 | 13.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+13.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1686 | 10.0 | 1686 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1464 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 41% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $311,115 |
| sports | $58,622 |
| finance | $34,964 |
| culture | $17,114 |
| esports | $11,763 |
| tech | −$8,825 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | 95¢ | $833 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | 3¢ | $21 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 89¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 91¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 98¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 94¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 77¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 97¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 96¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | 82¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | 94¢ | $66 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | 94¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | 99¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? | 100¢ | $42 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.