Traders › BigRabbit
BigRabbit: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xeb22…808a · Tailwhale rank #115 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
52/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+6.4 pts
Win rate
43% of positions
Markets traded
579 in 180 days
PnL: $155,537 this month · ROI on closed positions 15.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
51.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.4 pts on 565 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 24/100 | 4.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+4.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 60/100 | 9.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 579 | 9.2 | 579 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 565 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 43% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $134,419 |
| sports | $97,482 |
| crypto | $4,022 |
| culture | −$1,196 |
| finance | −$19,757 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Hawks | Hawks vs. Bulls | 71¢ | $1,321 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 4¢ | $435 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 5¢ | $41 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? | 30¢ | $2,991 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? | 5¢ | $300 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | 9¢ | $1,056 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | 19¢ | $218 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? | 3¢ | $171 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | 39¢ | $975 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | 11¢ | $247 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? | 19¢ | $454 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | 8¢ | $320 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? | 6¢ | $1,186 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | 4¢ | $269 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | 14¢ | $2,799 |
Open positions in top markets
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.