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bot-rapin: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9cec…38df · Tailwhale rank #18 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
85/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+10.6 pts
Win rate
98% of positions
Markets traded
89 in 180 days
PnL: $59,143 this month · ROI on closed positions 20.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
85.4 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +10.6 pts on 67 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 45/100 | 8.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+8.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 89 | 6.5 | 89 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +10.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 67 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +9.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 98% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $61,613 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Luton Town FC vs. Cambridge United FC end in a draw? | 100¢ | $737 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Huddersfield Town AFC end in a draw? | 99¢ | $422 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Leyton Orient FC | Spread: Leyton Orient FC (-5.5) | 49¢ | $38 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Leyton Orient FC | Spread: Leyton Orient FC (-2.5) | 49¢ | $185 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Leyton Orient FC | Spread: Leyton Orient FC (-1.5) | 49¢ | $25 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Doncaster Rovers FC | Spread: Doncaster Rovers FC (-2.5) | 49¢ | $49 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Cuba leading at halftime? | 100¢ | $149 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Under | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100¢ | $180 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100¢ | $180 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: O/U 0.5 | 100¢ | $106 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Under | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | $307 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 95¢ | $1,106 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 94¢ | $677 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 90¢ | $191 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Bonaire vs. Cuba: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 90¢ | $333 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.