Traders › broskye
broskye: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x169b…44bc · Tailwhale rank #14 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
87/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+8.8 pts
Win rate
55% of positions
Markets traded
432 in 180 days
PnL: $132,997 this month · ROI on closed positions 51.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
86.7 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 75/100 | 30.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +8.8 pts on 289 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 90/100 | 17.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+17.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 432 | 8.8 | 432 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +8.8 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 289 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +9.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 55% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $9,222 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 91¢ | $46 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 100¢ | $50 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 82¢ | $25 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 19¢ | $10 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $60 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 83¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $21 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | 98¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | 96¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 83¢ | $33 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 82¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 99¢ | $20 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.