Traders › btna
btna: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x3835…3493 · Tailwhale rank #6 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
96/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+18.2 pts
Win rate
74% of positions
Markets traded
84 in 180 days
PnL: $141,789 this month · ROI on closed positions 61.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
96.4 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +18.2 pts on 84 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 100/100 | 20.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+23.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 84 | 6.4 | 84 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +18.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 84 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +17.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 74% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $122,428 |
| crypto | $28,842 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? | 80¢ | $1,052 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November? | 11¢ | $120 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sold No | Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-11-08? | 100¢ | $2,630 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought No | Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-11-08? | 29¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Yes | Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw? | 59¢ | $21 |
| 2026-11-06 | Sold Yes | Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw? | 99¢ | $1,685 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Over | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5 | 19¢ | $228 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Over | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: KKS Lech Poznań O/U 1.5 | 18¢ | $254 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Over | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 | 25¢ | $1,511 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Over | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 | 24¢ | $1,700 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Over | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 | 23¢ | $176 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? | 20¢ | $860 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? | 20¢ | $860 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November? | 20¢ | $860 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Yes | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in November? | 5¢ | $62 |
Get alerts when btna trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.