Traders › C03B

C03B: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x4060…3ec3 · Tailwhale rank #77 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

59/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+3.3 pts

Win rate

86% of positions

Markets traded

1,557 in 180 days

PnL: $63,127 this month · ROI on closed positions 1.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

58.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%51/10020.3Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.3 pts on 1618 resolved positions.
Robustness20%2/1000.5Return with the three best positions removed (+0.5%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%86/10012.9Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%155710.01557 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+3.3 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 1618 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+3.3 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–86%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
finance$217,351
crypto$70,003
politics$23,239
sports$10,288

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in November?98¢$294
2026-11-13Bought UpGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 13?91¢$45
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of November 9 2026?99¢$523
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of November 9 2026?100¢$3,363
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 9 2026?99¢$201
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of November 9 2026?90¢$595
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?96¢$115
2026-11-13Bought NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?64¢$168
2026-11-12Bought YesWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on November 12?100¢$1,564
2026-11-12Bought NoWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on November 12?96¢$144
2026-11-12Bought NoWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on November 12?88¢$230
2026-11-12Bought NoWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on November 12?75¢$90
2026-11-12Bought YesWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $165 on November 12?95¢$133
2026-11-12Bought DownApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 12?92¢$14
2026-11-12Bought DownApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 12?87¢$86

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.