Traders › ChonkVision

ChonkVision: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x676c…e139 · Tailwhale rank #97 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

55/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+2.0 pts

Win rate

56% of positions

Markets traded

486 in 180 days

PnL: $266,392 this month · ROI on closed positions 13.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

54.8 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%19/1007.6Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.0 pts on 521 resolved positions.
Robustness20%42/1008.3Return with the three best positions removed (+8.3%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%100/10015.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%4869.0486 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+2.0 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 521 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+2.0 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–56%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
esports$333,431
sports$290,800

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-14Bought PredatorsPredators vs. Sharks61¢$428
2026-11-12Bought LightningLightning vs. Blue Jackets51¢$5,228
2026-11-11Bought LightningLightning vs. Sabres55¢$32
2026-11-11Bought MOUZCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B50¢$5,104
2026-11-11Bought MOUZCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B49¢$2,109
2026-11-11Bought G2Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner58¢$780
2026-11-11Bought G2Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner54¢$8,523
2026-11-10Bought PanthersPanthers vs. Blue Jackets53¢$1,777
2026-11-10Bought CanadiensWild vs. Canadiens46¢$465
2026-11-09Bought T1LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner51¢$5,117
2026-11-09Bought NoWill Gen.G win Worlds 2026?36¢$7,438
2026-11-09Bought YesWill Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?36¢$219
2026-11-09Bought NoWill a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?35¢$197
2026-11-09Bought YesWill a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?35¢$15
2026-11-09Bought YesWill Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?35¢$23

Get alerts when ChonkVision trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).

The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.