Traders › CleanCoinFlip
CleanCoinFlip: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x6464…86bc · Tailwhale rank #158 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.0 pts
Win rate
47% of positions
Markets traded
891 in 180 days
PnL: $68,582 this month · ROI on closed positions 14.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
44.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.0 pts on 1086 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 23/100 | 4.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+4.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 891 | 9.8 | 891 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.0 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1086 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.0 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 47% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| crypto | $42,454 |
| finance | $1,514 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 14? | 68¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | 13¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on November 14? | 93¢ | $65 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on November 14? | 91¢ | $18 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on November 14? | 66¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on November 14? | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | 12¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on November 14? | 98¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on November 14? | 88¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 November 9-15? | 52¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? | 82¢ | $1,099 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on November 14? | 88¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on November 14? | 99¢ | $88 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15? | 38¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on November 14? | 96¢ | $14 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.