Traders › Crazyboy77
Crazyboy77: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc95e…caf7 · Tailwhale rank #99 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
55/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+3.2 pts
Win rate
49% of positions
Markets traded
490 in 180 days
PnL: $79,190 this month · ROI on closed positions 14.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
54.7 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 31/100 | 12.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.2 pts on 530 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 17/100 | 3.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 490 | 9.0 | 490 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 530 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 49% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $59,332 |
| esports | $18,845 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Team Liquid | Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5) | 55¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Aurora | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | 50¢ | $500 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Dinamo Minsk | KHL: HC Sochi vs. Dinamo Minsk | 68¢ | $56 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Dinamo Minsk | KHL: HC Sochi vs. Dinamo Minsk | 68¢ | $22 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought angry birds | Dota 2: CyberHero vs angry birds - Game 1 Winner | 57¢ | $167 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought CyberHero | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner | 53¢ | $26 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought CyberHero | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs CyberHero - Game 1 Winner | 53¢ | $21 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Ka4kanarskie cyxariki | Dota 2: CyberHero vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner | 41¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-06 | Sold iLTW TEAM | Dota 2: iLTW TEAM vs LenS Team (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage | 24¢ | $118 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought LenS Team | Dota 2: iLTW TEAM vs LenS Team - Game 2 Winner | 28¢ | $50 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought iLTW TEAM | Dota 2: iLTW TEAM vs LenS Team (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage | 31¢ | $100 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought iLTW TEAM | Dota 2: iLTW TEAM vs LenS Team (BO3) - Media Eleague Group Stage | 27¢ | $46 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought iLTW TEAM | Dota 2: iLTW TEAM vs LenS Team - Game 2 Winner | 72¢ | $117 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Natus Vincere | Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | 50¢ | $279 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought LenS Team | Dota 2: LenS Team vs Cooman Team - Game 2 Winner | 99¢ | $386 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.