Traders › DegenKingBetter

DegenKingBetter: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0xb56d…d621 · Tailwhale rank #141 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

47/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+5.2 pts

Win rate

59% of positions

Markets traded

150 in 180 days

PnL: $105,069 this month · ROI on closed positions 15.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

47.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%24/1009.6Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.2 pts on 150 resolved positions.
Robustness20%27/1005.4Return with the three best positions removed (+5.4%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%67/10010.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%1507.3150 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+5.2 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 150 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+5.2 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–59%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
sports$264,901

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-10Bought Grizzlies vs. Raptors AND Spurs vs. Suns AND Spread: Bills (-2.5)30¢$3,866
2026-11-08Bought Spread: Saints (-7.5) AND Spread: Lions (-6.5) AND Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 36.5 AND Jets vs. Chiefs20¢$1,923
2026-11-08Bought Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) AND Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5 AND Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5 AND Spread: 49ers (-9.5) AND Broncos vs. Panthers AND Lions vs. Dolphins3¢$783
2026-11-08Bought Canucks vs. Oilers AND Jets vs. Chiefs AND Bengals vs. Falcons AND Lions vs. Dolphins27¢$2,412
2026-11-07Bought Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame AND Georgia vs. Ole Miss AND Penn State vs. Washington AND Wizards vs. Thunder33¢$1,100
2026-11-07Bought Giants vs. Eagles AND Raiders vs. 49ers AND Jets vs. Chiefs AND Lions vs. Dolphins30¢$9,662
2026-11-07Bought Spread: Missouri (-7.5) AND UCLA vs. Minnesota AND BYU vs. Utah36¢$2,907
2026-11-07Bought Rockets vs. Suns AND Canucks vs. Oilers AND UCLA vs. Minnesota AND BYU vs. Utah27¢$2,894
2026-11-07Bought Timberwolves vs. Pelicans AND Raptors vs. Bucks28¢$1,930
2026-11-07Bought Timberwolves vs. Pelicans AND Spread: Bucks (-4.5) AND Jazz vs. Mavericks40¢$971
2026-11-07Bought Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) AND Jazz vs. Mavericks34¢$484
2026-11-07Bought Raptors vs. Bucks AND Sharks vs. Wild AND Jazz vs. Mavericks31¢$483
2026-11-06Bought 76ers vs. Cavaliers AND Celtics vs. Hornets AND Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges AND Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz23¢$724
2026-11-06Bought Canucks vs. Jets AND Jaguars vs. Ravens AND Ducks vs. Oilers46¢$2,435
2026-11-06Bought Canucks vs. Jets AND Jaguars vs. Ravens AND Hurricanes vs. Islanders AND Bruins vs. Penguins50¢$4,878

Get alerts when DegenKingBetter trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).

The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.