Traders › Dragon-Evolution
Dragon-Evolution: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x3eb3…6a2a · Tailwhale rank #62 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
63/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+23.2 pts
Win rate
77% of positions
Markets traded
22 in 180 days
PnL: $266,039 this month · ROI on closed positions 33.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
63.4 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 63/100 | 25.1 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +23.2 pts on 22 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 19/100 | 3.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 22 | 4.5 | 22 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +23.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 22 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +23.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 77% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $444,100 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Bought Aurora Gaming | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | 41¢ | $9,406 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | 53¢ | $36,079 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | 71¢ | $17,040 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | 65¢ | $375 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 55¢ | $1,684 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 51¢ | $2,038 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | 67¢ | $1,199 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 55¢ | $6,664 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | 47¢ | $5,372 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | 49¢ | $4,883 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Vitality | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 46¢ | $9,031 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Aurora Gaming | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | 33¢ | $451 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Aurora Gaming | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | 32¢ | $4,712 |
| 2026-10-11 | Bought Aurora Gaming | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | 31¢ | $8,514 |
| 2026-10-10 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | 64¢ | $6,078 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.