Traders › Eager47259
Eager47259: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xab15…46e5 · Tailwhale rank #112 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
52/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
50% of positions
Markets traded
1,857 in 180 days
PnL: $109,797 this month · ROI on closed positions 12.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
51.9 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 14/100 | 5.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 2280 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 33/100 | 6.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1857 | 10.0 | 1857 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2280 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 50% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| crypto | $96,258 |
| finance | $2,523 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 November 9-15? | 4¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14? | 24¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14? | 27¢ | $22 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on November 14? | 27¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on November 14? | 99¢ | $255 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 November 9-15? | 5¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Down | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10AM ET | 68¢ | $12 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on November 14? | 7¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on November 15? | 92¢ | $46 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on November 14? | 95¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on November 14? | 98¢ | $162 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 November 9-15? | 4¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 November 9-15? | 4¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on November 14? | 98¢ | $421 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 November 9-15? | 14¢ | $40 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.