Traders › Elaran1993
Elaran1993: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xb727…2a9d · Tailwhale rank #118 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
51/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+3.8 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
429 in 180 days
PnL: $451,089 this month · $775,493 all time · ROI on closed positions 13.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
51.2 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 34/100 | 13.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.8 pts on 433 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 19/100 | 3.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 429 | 8.8 | 429 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.8 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 433 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.8 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $742,684 |
| esports | $32,809 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Dplus KIA | Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) | 12¢ | $132 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Dplus KIA | Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) | 11¢ | $388 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 54¢ | $54,000 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 59¢ | $8,396 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 68¢ | $68,000 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 68¢ | $40,800 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 68¢ | $40,800 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Cowboys | Cowboys vs. Eagles | 68¢ | $80,309 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bought Over | Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 | 53¢ | $6,005 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bought Over | Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 | 53¢ | $16,139 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bought Over | Mavericks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5 | 53¢ | $37,094 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bought Under | Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 | 51¢ | $6,363 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bought Under | Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5 | 49¢ | $8,997 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bought Magic | Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | 51¢ | $3,060 |
| 2026-10-25 | Bought Magic | Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | 51¢ | $24,640 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.