Traders › ethanaz
ethanaz: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf28e…cab2 · Tailwhale rank #159 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.7 pts
Win rate
56% of positions
Markets traded
942 in 180 days
PnL: – · $800,284 all time · ROI on closed positions 1.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
44.1 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 27/100 | 10.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.7 pts on 1057 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-1.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 942 | 9.9 | 942 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1057 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 56% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $800,308 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 66¢ | $162,554 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 49¢ | $2,532 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 38¢ | $11,632 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 37¢ | $16,625 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 36¢ | $11,426 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 77¢ | $36,537 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 77¢ | $1,337 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 74¢ | $7,810 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 74¢ | $9,880 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 74¢ | $35,940 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 64¢ | $813 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Under | Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 42.5 | 52¢ | $3,083 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 51¢ | $2,919 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 58¢ | $3,278 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Giants | Commanders vs. Giants | 49¢ | $2,775 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.