Traders › Fvalp
Fvalp: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xbc1d…a53c · Tailwhale rank #147 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
47/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+3.4 pts
Win rate
61% of positions
Markets traded
131 in 180 days
PnL: $88,448 this month · ROI on closed positions 13.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
46.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 16/100 | 6.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.4 pts on 139 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 15/100 | 3.1 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.1%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 131 | 7.1 | 131 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 139 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 61% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $176,119 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will France win on 2026-11-12? | 12¢ | $1,453 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? | 51¢ | $8,833 |
| 2026-10-30 | Bought Yes | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30? | 88¢ | $21,482 |
| 2026-10-27 | Bought Yes | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27? | 86¢ | $662 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bought Yes | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 5¢ | $52 |
| 2026-10-22 | Bought Yes | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22? | 9¢ | $100 |
| 2026-10-17 | Sold Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 21¢ | $420 |
| 2026-10-17 | Bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 23¢ | $454 |
| 2026-10-16 | Sold Hugo Gaston | Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 15¢ | $150 |
| 2026-10-16 | Bought Francesco Passaro | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro | 61¢ | $3,050 |
| 2026-10-15 | Sold Yes | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | 2¢ | $96 |
| 2026-10-15 | Sold Yes | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15? | 13¢ | $405 |
| 2026-10-14 | Sold Yes | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | 86¢ | $2,585 |
| 2026-10-14 | Bought Yes | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | 89¢ | $528 |
| 2026-10-14 | Sold Ann Li | Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li | 50¢ | $2,125 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.