Traders › GamblingOdyssey
GamblingOdyssey: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe524…d34f · Tailwhale rank #142 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
47/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.1 pts
Win rate
53% of positions
Markets traded
1,385 in 180 days
PnL: – · $692,797 all time · ROI on closed positions 5.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
47.2 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 24/100 | 9.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.1 pts on 1389 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 10/100 | 1.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+1.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1385 | 10.0 | 1385 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1389 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 53% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $692,797 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Paris Basketball | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | 30¢ | $31 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Samuel Sanches | UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | 51¢ | $376 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Iceland win on 2026-11-13? | 53¢ | $356 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? | 53¢ | $320 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13? | 58¢ | $66 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Germany win on 2026-11-13? | 77¢ | $130 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Paris Basketball | Paris Basketball vs. Fenerbahce | 30¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Norway win on 2026-11-14? | 80¢ | $110 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Over | Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 | 48¢ | $912 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-08? | 63¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Golden Knights | Golden Knights vs. Sabres | 51¢ | $57 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-11-08? | 74¢ | $581 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Jan Kumstat | Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Jan Kumstat | 37¢ | $18 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Dimitris Sakellaridis | Matsuyama: Renta Tokuda vs Dimitris Sakellaridis | 47¢ | $47 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Nina Miloševic | UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | 82¢ | $2,460 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.