Traders › Gooooooollllllllll

Gooooooollllllllll: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0xda3a…381f · Tailwhale rank #83 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

57/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+3.9 pts

Win rate

52% of positions

Markets traded

2,215 in 180 days

PnL: $182,696 this month · ROI on closed positions 6.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

57.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%57/10022.6Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.9 pts on 2360 resolved positions.
Robustness20%29/1005.8Return with the three best positions removed (+5.8%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%40/1006.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%86/10012.9Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%221510.02215 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+3.9 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 2360 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+3.9 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–52%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
esports$691,686
politics$4,283
culture−$1,572
finance−$15,762
sports−$22,303

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-14Bought UnderTotal Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?32¢$336
2026-11-12Bought NoJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?50¢$1,623
2026-11-11Bought PCIFICCounter-Strike: PCIFIC vs magic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs39¢$264
2026-11-11Bought BakS eSportsCounter-Strike: Nexus vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage57¢$286
2026-11-11Bought YesWill Flamengo win Brazil Série A?80¢$181
2026-11-11Bought NoWill SCU Torreense vs. Sparta Prague end in a draw?70¢$860
2026-11-10Bought NoWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?67¢$558
2026-11-10Bought NoWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?65¢$178
2026-11-10Bought Pixel LuminaValorant: Aurora Gaming vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff: Europe Qualifier Playoffs21¢$13
2026-11-10Bought Saigon WarriorsLoL: Saigon Warriors vs Gromp Esports - Game 2 Winner72¢$1,115
2026-11-09Bought UnderGames Total: O/U 3.559¢$128
2026-11-08Bought Bilibili GamingLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner43¢$10,750
2026-11-08Bought Basquet Club AndorraBasquet Coruna vs. Basquet Club Andorra40¢$245
2026-11-08Bought UnderGames Total: O/U 3.526¢$1,701
2026-11-07Bought OverTotal Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?48¢$93

Open positions in top markets

MarketOutcomeValueAvg entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$16217¢

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.