Traders › Hashbrown
Hashbrown: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa52b…9480 · Tailwhale rank #162 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.7 pts
Win rate
84% of positions
Markets traded
273 in 180 days
PnL: $91,489 this month · ROI on closed positions 2.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
43.8 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 25/100 | 9.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.7 pts on 277 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 2/100 | 0.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+0.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 273 | 8.1 | 273 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 277 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 84% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $11,612 |
| culture | $3,779 |
| finance | $2,645 |
| crypto | $2,349 |
| politics | $1,133 |
| tech | −$1,153 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $1,369 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $2,367 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $1,980 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $106 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $642 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $1,985 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Colorado | Houston vs. Colorado | 99¢ | $1,453 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold UCLA | Illinois vs. UCLA | 100¢ | $19,869 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought UCLA | Illinois vs. UCLA | 98¢ | $9,750 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Houston | Houston vs. Colorado | 49¢ | $2,004 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought UCLA | Illinois vs. UCLA | 98¢ | $1,804 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought UCLA | Illinois vs. UCLA | 90¢ | $6,230 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold UCLA | Illinois vs. UCLA | 77¢ | $3,843 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Houston | Houston vs. Colorado | 87¢ | $3,558 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.