Traders › Hauchn
Hauchn: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf0ca…66ed · Tailwhale rank #138 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
48/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+6.9 pts
Win rate
38% of positions
Markets traded
82 in 180 days
PnL: $239,679 this month · ROI on closed positions 51.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
47.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 32/100 | 12.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.9 pts on 83 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 25/100 | 5.1 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.1%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 82 | 6.4 | 82 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 83 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 38% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| finance | $300,655 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 85¢ | $2,219 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | 56¢ | $67 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 92¢ | $2,252 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | 97¢ | $610 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 88¢ | $42,917 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 85¢ | $574 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 85¢ | $199 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 85¢ | $181 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 83¢ | $30 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 83¢ | $2,712 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 82¢ | $928 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 82¢ | $223 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 82¢ | $569 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 80¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 86¢ | $1,477 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.