Traders › ic4cream
ic4cream: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x27f7…44b0 · Tailwhale rank #35 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
77/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+4.3 pts
Win rate
59% of positions
Markets traded
2,681 in 180 days
PnL: $118,973 this month · ROI on closed positions 18.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
77.4 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 84/100 | 33.5 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +4.3 pts on 2884 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 82/100 | 16.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+16.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 33/100 | 5.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2681 | 10.0 | 2681 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +4.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2884 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 59% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $522,004 |
| esports | −$2,378 |
| politics | −$65,923 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Mavericks | Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | 52¢ | $4,256 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $1,390 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Minnesota | Spread: Penn State (-14.5) | 59¢ | $595 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Minnesota | Spread: Penn State (-14.5) | 59¢ | $245 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought George Mason Patriots | Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5) | 52¢ | $280 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Jets | Jets vs. Blackhawks | 59¢ | $75 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Josh Hokit | UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) | 34¢ | $18 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $1,000 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $74 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $407 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $44 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cornell Big Red | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 52¢ | $147 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought UTEP | Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) | 52¢ | $445 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Under | Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 | 53¢ | $772 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Michigan State | Spread: Washington (-3.5) | 53¢ | $382 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.