Traders › Inaccuratestake
Inaccuratestake: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf883…cd1f · Tailwhale rank #153 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
45/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+9.1 pts
Win rate
74% of positions
Markets traded
28 in 180 days
PnL: – · $3,849,969 all time · ROI on closed positions 18.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
45.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 30/100 | 12.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +9.1 pts on 31 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 18/100 | 3.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 28 | 4.8 | 28 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +9.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 31 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +9.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 74% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $3,849,969 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Sold Yes | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 65¢ | $11 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $22,836 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $1,463,170 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 81¢ | $930,577 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 81¢ | $708,303 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 80¢ | $162,428 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 80¢ | $786,202 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 79¢ | $481,175 |
| 2026-06-07 | Bought Alexander Zverev | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 79¢ | $416,862 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 93¢ | $9,300 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 93¢ | $27,900 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 93¢ | $27,900 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 93¢ | $65,100 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 82¢ | $15,406 |
| 2026-06-06 | Bought Mirra Andreeva | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | 82¢ | $61,872 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.