Traders › JhonAlexanderHinestroza
JhonAlexanderHinestroza: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x44c5…8d45 · Tailwhale rank #177 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
42/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+1.9 pts
Win rate
57% of positions
Markets traded
1,513 in 180 days
PnL: $151,536 this month · ROI on closed positions -0.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
42.1 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 35/100 | 13.9 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +1.9 pts on 1622 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-1.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1513 | 10.0 | 1513 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +1.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1622 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 57% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $384,914 |
| politics | −$54,550 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-11-13? | 6¢ | $329 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Yes | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-11-13? | 7¢ | $328 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Yes | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-11-13? | 8¢ | $69 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-11-13? | 21¢ | $306 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-11-13? | 25¢ | $478 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Under | CD Leganés vs. Burgos CF: O/U 3.5 | 29¢ | $61 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Over | Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 5.5 | 87¢ | $4,048 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Over | Slovakia vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 73¢ | $270 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Over | Slovakia vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 69¢ | $218 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Over | Slovakia vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | $257 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-11-13? | 14¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-11-13? | 16¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-11-13? | 9¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 61¢ | $4,965 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 55¢ | $1,108 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.